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Nvidia CFO Says $500 Billion AI Order not Include $100 Billion OpenAI Deal

Summarized by NextFin AI
  • Nvidia's CFO Colette Kress clarified that the company's $500 billion investment agreement with OpenAI is still in negotiation and unfinalized.
  • The partnership aims to deploy at least 10 gigawatts of Nvidia systems, which could significantly enhance Nvidia's revenue pipeline once finalized.
  • Nvidia expects $500 billion in combined GPU sales through 2026, driven by high demand for its Blackwell and Rubin chips.
  • Recent comments indicate potential upside to revenue estimates due to new orders and growth prospects in emerging markets.

AsianFin -- Nvidia Corp. chief financial officer (CFO) Colette Kress on Tuesday clarified that the chipmaker's agreement to invest up to $500 billion in OpenAI remains unfinalized, and potential orders from that partnership would be additional to the company’s existing $500 billion worth of order blacklog through 2026.


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Speaking at the UBS Global Technology and AI Conference in Arizona on Tuesday, Kress addressed mounting questions about the framework announced in September. "We still haven't completed a definitive agreement, but we're working with them," she said, referring to the letter of intent to deploy at least 10 gigawatts of Nvidia systems for the startup.

The clarification adds significance to Nvidia's already substantial order book. Kress emphasized that "that half a trillion doesn't include any of the work that we're doing right now on the next part of the agreement with OpenAI," suggesting the OpenAI deal could materially expand the company's revenue pipeline once finalized.

Nvidia shares rose as much as 3.2% and finished nearly 0.9% higher on Tuesday following the remarks. The comments come amid intensifying scrutiny of circular deal structures in the AI ecosystem, where Nvidia both invests in and sells hardware to the same AI startups.

CFO Confirms Deal Still in Negotiation

Kress disclosed that Nvidia continues discussions with OpenAI to finalize terms of the investment framework. The proposed agreement involves deploying capacity comparable to powering more than 8 million U.S. homes. OpenAI ranks among Nvidia's largest customers for advanced AI chips, alongside major cloud providers that represent a significant portion of the company's revenue.

The CFO also noted that Nvidia's recent $10 billion commitment to OpenAI’s rival Anthropic could similarly add to the $500 billion in chip bookings.

September Partnership Framework

Nvidia and OpenAI announced a letter of intent on September 22 for a strategic partnership to deploy at least 10 gigawatts (GW) of Nvidia systems for OpenAI's next-generation AI infrastructure. A GW, equal to one bilion watts, is a measure of power that is increasingly being used to describe the biggest clusters of AI chips.

To support the planned deployment including data center and power capacity, Nvidia made its largest-ever spend commitment. It intends to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI as the new Nvidia systems are deployed.

The first phase targets deployment in the second half of 2026 using Nvidia's Vera Rubin platform, combining the Rubin graphics processing unit (GPU) with Vera central processing unit (CPU), Nvidia's first custom central processor. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman called Nvidia one of the company's "most critical partners."

CEO Huang Disclosed $500 Billion Chip Revenue Forecast

At Nvidia's GPU Technology Conference on October 29, CEO Jensen Huang disclosed that the company Huang has shipped 6 million Blackwell GPUs in the past four quarters, highlighting the high demand, and the delivery is expected to be 20 million units. In comparison, Hopper, the previous generation GPU, only accounted for 4 million units in its whole lifetime, according to Huang.

The Blackwell chip and the newer Rubin model are juicing an unprecedented surge of sales growth through 2026, Huang said. He disclosed Nvidia expected $500 billion in combined GPU sales between the Blackwell generation and the Rubin chips, adding that the sales forecast didn’t include sales from China.

"The most important thing learned was that Blackwell and initial Rubin orders over the next five quarters amount to what seems to be over $340 billion and these don't include new orders, Rubin CPX, China and Hopper," Melius Research analyst Ben Reitzes wrote in a note to clients, though networking is included in that expectation.

If Huang's order commentary is "taken literally," it "implies meaningful upside to Street estimates for revenue since it doesn't include new orders, which seem inevitable given growth prospects in the Middle East and excitement around the Rubin products" in the second half of 2026, Reitzes added.

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Insights

What is the significance of Nvidia's potential $500 billion investment in OpenAI?

How does Nvidia's financial strategy reflect current trends in the AI and chip industries?

What are the implications of Nvidia's partnership with OpenAI for the AI infrastructure market?

What recent updates have been made regarding Nvidia's negotiations with OpenAI?

How does Nvidia's order backlog impact its financial outlook for the coming years?

What role does Nvidia's Blackwell GPU play in the company's sales growth projections?

How has Nvidia's stock market performance been influenced by its announcements regarding OpenAI?

What are the main technical specifications of the Nvidia systems intended for OpenAI?

How does Nvidia's recent commitment to Anthropic compare to its investment in OpenAI?

What challenges does Nvidia face in finalizing its partnership with OpenAI?

How might the geopolitical landscape affect Nvidia's business operations and partnerships?

What are the key features of the Rubin platform and its expected impact on Nvidia's market position?

How do circular deal structures in the AI ecosystem raise concerns for companies like Nvidia?

What past events in the tech industry can be compared to Nvidia's current negotiations with OpenAI?

In what ways could the outcome of Nvidia's deal with OpenAI reshape the AI chip market?

What are the potential risks associated with Nvidia's heavy investment in AI partnerships?

How does Nvidia's revenue forecast for the Blackwell and Rubin chips align with industry expectations?

What insights can be drawn from Nvidia's current sales figures and projections?

How might future technological advancements impact Nvidia's strategy in the AI and chip sectors?

What is the broader impact of Nvidia and OpenAI's partnership on the global tech industry?

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