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Bitcoin Faces Volatility: Rises to 118,000 Before Rapid Decline

Overview of Today's Market

Currently, the latest Bitcoin market data for today is not available. To perform a comprehensive analysis, you may collect data on the opening price, closing price, highest and lowest points, as well as key fluctuations throughout the day from reliable cryptocurrency exchanges or financial news platforms.

Once you have the data, you can describe the main fluctuation phases (e.g., "rushing up to 118,000 in the afternoon and then quickly falling back") and analyze the trading volume and capital flow, including liquidation figures and the long-short ratio.

Technical Analysis

For technical analysis, observe candlestick patterns such as doji or long upper shadows, and assess the convergence state of Bollinger Bands and Exponential Moving Averages (EMA).

Check key indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to determine if the asset is overbought or oversold, and note any Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) signals such as golden crosses or dead crosses.

Identify critical support and resistance levels (e.g., support at 116,000 and resistance at 120,000) to gauge potential price movement boundaries.

Market Sentiment and Capital Dynamics

Analyze the behavior of major market participants, such as whether large players are distributing chips by leveraging liquidity premiums.

Track institutional movements, including net inflows or outflows from Grayscale funds and changes in ETF holdings.

Evaluate retail investor sentiment by reviewing liquidation data, which typically indicates tendencies such as chasing price rises or selling on dips.

Macro and Policy Impacts

Consider policy signals from the Federal Reserve, including remarks from key figures like Powell, and regulatory developments from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), such as decisions on whether Ethereum (ETH) is classified as a security.

Examine linkages with the broader global market, including the performance of U.S. stocks, gold, and fluctuations in the U.S. dollar index.

Tomorrow's Strategies and Risk Warnings

Formulate operation suggestions based on technical and market conditions (e.g., "If it breaks below 116,000, look down to 114,000. If it stabilizes, consider a light long position").

Note upcoming events that may impact the market, such as the release timing of the White House's cryptocurrency policy report or relevant economic data.

If you provide the specific market data or need help with any part of this analysis, I am ready to assist further.

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