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Fed's Daly Says Labor Market Sustainable, Supports Rate Cuts but Warns Limits

Summarized by NextFin AI
  • Mary Daly, President of the San Francisco Federal Reserve, stated that the U.S. labor market is sustainable despite recent slowdowns, emphasizing its resilience.
  • She supported the recent quarter-point interest rate cut as a protective measure for the labor market, warning against further weakening.
  • Inflation is currently between 2.4% and 2.5%, with tariffs having a one-time impact; more efforts are needed for price stability.
  • Daly indicated that recession risks are low and that the Fed will continue to balance monetary policy adjustments with labor market support.

NextFin news, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly spoke on Wednesday, September 24, 2025, emphasizing that the U.S. labor market is sustainable and not weak despite a recent slowdown. She expressed full support for the Federal Reserve's recent quarter-point interest rate cut but warned that lowering rates to neutral has limited effects on economic stability.

Daly highlighted that while the labor market has cooled from its previous rapid pace, it remains resilient and sustainable. She cautioned against further weakening, noting that once the labor market deteriorates, recovery becomes difficult. She described the recent rate cut as an insurance measure to protect the labor market.

Regarding inflation, Daly noted that it has risen less than expected and that inflation excluding tariffs is roughly between 2.4% and 2.5%. She acknowledged that tariffs have had a one-time impact on inflation but stressed that more work is needed to restore price stability.

On monetary policy, Daly indicated that further adjustments are likely necessary as the Fed continues to balance restoring price stability with supporting the labor market. She stated that the Fed's rate-path projections are not promises and that decisions will be made by assessing tradeoffs at each point.

Daly also addressed recession risks, stating they are very low at present. She noted that while the recent interest rate cut will provide some relief to the housing market, it will not solve underlying supply issues affecting affordability.

She emphasized that the current economic situation is not stagflation and that the economy still requires monetary restraint, but not as aggressively as before. Daly concluded by underscoring the complexity of the economic environment and the limits of interest rate policy in addressing broader policy challenges.

These remarks were reported by FXStreet and Investing.com based on Daly's public statements on September 24, 2025.

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Insights

What are the key indicators of a sustainable labor market according to Fed's Daly?

How does the recent interest rate cut fit into the broader monetary policy of the Federal Reserve?

What are the potential impacts of interest rate cuts on the U.S. economy?

What does Daly mean by saying that further rate cuts have limited effects on economic stability?

How has inflation changed recently, and what factors are influencing it?

What are the implications of Daly's comments on recession risks for future economic forecasts?

How do tariffs influence inflation rates, according to Daly's observations?

What measures can be taken to restore price stability beyond interest rate adjustments?

What challenges does the housing market currently face despite the recent interest rate cut?

How does Daly differentiate the current economic situation from stagflation?

What trade-offs is the Federal Reserve considering in its monetary policy decisions?

In what ways might the labor market's resilience impact future economic policies?

What historical precedents exist for the Fed's approach to interest rate adjustments in similar economic conditions?

How do Daly's views compare with other Federal Reserve officials on monetary policy?

What risks are associated with maintaining a sustainable labor market in the long term?

What lessons can be learned from past economic downturns regarding interest rate policy?

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