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Strong Fundamentals and GST 2.0 Help Indian Markets Deliver Positive Returns Despite Trump Tariffs

Summarized by NextFin AI
  • Indian stock markets delivered positive returns in 2025 despite US tariffs, supported by strong domestic fundamentals and GST 2.0 reforms.
  • While global markets faced volatility due to tariff announcements, Indian markets showed resilience, benefiting from a recovery following a tariff pause and new trade agreements.
  • Market capitalization of the Indian Sensex grew by $66.5 billion in 2025, aided by domestic mutual fund inflows that countered foreign selling pressure.
  • India's large domestic market and ongoing reforms provide a buffer against global shocks, maintaining investor confidence amid geopolitical uncertainties.

NextFin news, New Delhi, this Wednesday — Indian stock markets have delivered positive returns in 2025 despite the imposition of various US tariffs by former President Donald Trump, according to a report released by Bank of Baroda (BoB) on Wednesday.

The report highlighted that strong domestic fundamentals, robust domestic consumption, and the implementation of GST 2.0 reforms have played a key role in cushioning Indian equity markets from the adverse effects of external economic pressures, including the US tariffs announced from January to mid-September 2025.

BoB economist Sonal Badhan noted that while many global markets experienced volatility and losses in the initial months of 2025 due to tariff announcements, Indian markets, along with those of Hong Kong, Brazil, and China, managed to deliver positive returns during the January to April period. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones indices in the US recorded losses wiping out $6.1 trillion in market value during the same period.

From April to mid-September, global markets rebounded following a 90-day tariff pause announced in April and new trade agreements between the US and countries including the UK, Japan, Indonesia, and Vietnam. Indian markets benefited from this recovery, supported by domestic policies and reforms.

The Bank of Baroda report also emphasized the role of front-loaded rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in supporting growth and cushioning the equity markets from external shocks.

Market capitalization of the Indian Sensex grew by $66.5 billion in 2025 despite the US tariffs on Indian imports. Domestic mutual fund inflows have also helped shield Indian equities from declines caused by persistent selling by foreign portfolio investors, with August marking the 25th consecutive month of net inflows from domestic investors.

Christopher Wood, global head of equity strategy at Jefferies, stated on Tuesday that domestic mutual fund inflows have prevented Indian equities from falling by 20-30 percent this year amid foreign selling pressure.

Other emerging markets such as Vietnam, Japan, Indonesia, Hong Kong, China, and the UK posted double-digit growth in the same period, supported by trade agreements and easing tariff tensions.

The report underscores that India’s large domestic market and ongoing GST reforms provide a buffer against global shocks, helping maintain investor confidence despite geopolitical and trade uncertainties.

These findings were published on this Wednesday by Bank of Baroda and reported by Fortune India and Ommcom News.

Explore more exclusive insights at nextfin.ai.

Insights

What are the key components of India's GST 2.0 reforms?

How did US tariffs impact global markets in early 2025?

What factors contributed to the positive returns of Indian markets in 2025?

How did the Reserve Bank of India's rate cuts influence Indian equity markets?

What evidence supports the notion that domestic mutual funds have shielded Indian equities?

What role did domestic consumption play in stabilizing Indian markets?

How does India's market capitalization growth compare to other emerging markets in 2025?

What were the major trade agreements announced in April 2025?

In what ways did geopolitical tensions affect investor confidence in India?

What challenges do Indian markets face in the context of global economic pressures?

How have foreign portfolio investors' actions influenced the Indian stock market?

What historical precedents exist for countries maintaining market stability amid external shocks?

What are the long-term implications of GST reforms on India's economy?

How does the performance of the Indian Sensex reflect broader economic trends?

What strategies might India adopt to further strengthen its market resilience?

What lessons can be learned from the performance of other emerging markets during this period?

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