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US Stock Pre-Market Report - February 18, 2026

Summarized by NextFin AI
  • U.S. index futures show positive movement with Nasdaq 100 futures up by 0.51%, indicating a firm risk asset environment ahead of key economic data.
  • Durable Goods Orders are expected to decline by 1.8% month-over-month, while core orders are projected to rise by 0.3%, suggesting cautious business investment.
  • Fed's January meeting minutes will be released today, with investors anticipating insights on potential rate cuts amid persistent inflation concerns.
  • UK inflation has cooled to 3.0% YoY, increasing the likelihood of a rate cut by the Bank of England, positively impacting European equities.

NextFin News - As of the U.S. pre‑market on February 18, 2026, risk assets are firmer ahead of key economic releases and the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes later today.

Pre‑Market Performance

  • U.S. index futures — Nasdaq 100 futures 24,894 (+126.3, +0.51%); S&P 500 futures 6,886.3 (+25.8, +0.38%); Dow Jones futures 49,708 (+96, +0.19%).
  • Europe — FTSE 100 10,669.58 (+1.07%); CAC 40 8,401.44 (+0.48%); DAX 25,199.55 (+0.80%).
  • Commodities — WTI crude ~$63.9/bbl (+~2% intraday); Brent ~$69.0/bbl (firmer on Gulf tensions and diplomacy headlines). marketwatch.com
  • Gold — Spot/futures rebound to ~$4,900/oz (+0.6%–1.3%) as traders position for the Fed minutes. finance.yahoo.com
  • U.S. dollar — DXY steady to slightly higher, near the low‑97s ahead of the minutes. fxstreet.com

Macroeconomic Policy and Data

Today’s U.S. data (08:30/09:15 a.m. ET) and expectations:

  • Durable Goods Orders (Dec): consensus −1.8% m/m; core ex‑transport +0.3% (prior: +5.3% and +0.4%). riotimesonline.com
  • Housing Starts/Permits (Dec): 1.330M / 1.420M (prior: 1.246M / 1.411M). riotimesonline.com
  • Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization (Jan): +0.4% / 76.4% (prior: +0.4% / 76.3%). riotimesonline.com

Fed policy: The FOMC will release January meeting minutes at 2:00 p.m. ET; the Committee kept the fed‑funds rate at 3.50%–3.75% in January. Investors will parse how high the bar is for additional cuts amid sticky core inflation. federalreserve.gov

Market take: A soft headline in durable goods alongside a firmer core would argue for cyclical caution but not a collapse in business capex; any housing resilience could aid homebuilders. A cautious tone in the minutes could buoy the dollar and long yields, while a dovish tilt would favor duration and gold ahead of Friday’s PCE. barrons.com

Hot News

  • Fed minutes on deck — 2:00 p.m. ET release is in focus after January’s hold; traders gauge how quickly easing could resume. federalreserve.gov
  • UK inflation cools to 3.0% YoY — January CPI fell from 3.4%, boosting odds of a March BoE cut and supporting morning gains in European equities. ons.gov.uk
  • Oil supported by Gulf risks and diplomacy — U.S.–Iran talks in Geneva yielded “guiding principles,” but tensions and supply‑route sensitivity keep a risk premium in crude. aljazeera.com
  • Russia–Ukraine talks show limited progress — Geneva round made some procedural headway but no breakthrough on core political issues, maintaining geopolitical overhang. apnews.com
  • U.S. rates supply — The Treasury’s 20‑year bond auction and 17‑week bill sale arrive today, a modest test of demand before the minutes. us500.com

U.S. Stock Focus

  • Nvidia, Meta Platforms — Nvidia announced a multiyear pact to supply Meta with “millions” of next‑gen AI GPUs and to expand standalone deployments of its Grace/Vera CPUs, deepening Meta’s AI build‑out. Shares of NVDA and META ticked higher pre‑market. Nvidia release; Reuters
  • Analog Devices (ADI) — FQ1 non‑GAAP EPS of $2.46 beat estimates; revenue rose ~30% y/y to $3.16B. Guidance topped the Street, sending shares sharply higher pre‑market. Barron’s
  • Garmin (GRMN) — Q4 EPS $2.79 on revenue of $2.12B beat forecasts; 2026 EPS guide of $9.35 and revenue of $7.9B lifted shares double‑digits pre‑market. AP
  • Global‑e Online (GLBE) — Q4 EPS $0.49 vs. $0.31 est.; revenue $336.7M beat with upbeat FY26 outlook ($1.21B–$1.27B). Shares surged in early trade. Investing.com
  • Verisk Analytics (VRSK) — Q4 revenue $778.8M (+5.9% y/y); adjusted EPS $1.82 beat; board hiked the dividend 11% and expanded buyback authorization to $2.5B. Company release
  • Palo Alto Networks (PANW) — Shares fell after the company trimmed its annual profit outlook, citing integration costs from recent acquisitions despite Q2 revenue growth. Reuters
  • Berkshire Hathaway/New York Times (NYT) — Berkshire’s 13F revealed a ~5.1M‑share, ~$352M stake in The New York Times, lifting NYT shares in after‑hours trade; Berkshire also trimmed Apple and Amazon holdings. Investing.com
  • Applied Digital (APLD), Recursion (RXRX) — Both traded lower pre‑market after disclosures showed Nvidia no longer held stakes in the names as of Dec. 31; APLD had been a notable prior holding. Barron’s

Notes on Cross‑Markets

  • Reuters flagged firmer U.S. equity futures early today as tech sentiment steadied into the minutes; oil’s tone remained sensitive to diplomacy headlines. investing.com
  • Brent/WTI’s bounce and gold’s resilience frame a mixed macro signal set alongside a stable dollar index near 97. marketwatch.com

Explore more exclusive insights at nextfin.ai.

Insights

What are the main economic indicators being released today that could impact the market?

What trends are currently observed in U.S. stock futures ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting?

How has the market reacted to the latest earnings reports from companies like Nvidia and Garmin?

What recent changes have occurred in the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy?

What factors are influencing the current prices of crude oil and gold?

What implications does the cooling of UK inflation have for the European markets?

What challenges are companies facing in the current stock market environment?

How does the performance of the Nasdaq 100 compare to other major U.S. indexes today?

What are the potential long-term impacts of the Federal Reserve's decisions on interest rates?

What controversies surround the Federal Reserve's approach to inflation and interest rate cuts?

How did geopolitical tensions affect current market trends and commodity prices?

What are the expectations regarding the upcoming release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes?

What recent developments have impacted Nvidia and Meta Platforms' stock performance?

How do current U.S. housing starts compare with previous months' data?

What are the implications of the durable goods orders data for U.S. businesses?

How are investor sentiments shifting in response to Fed policy and economic data releases?

What comparisons can be made between the stock performances of tech companies and traditional industries?

What are the predictions for the U.S. dollar's performance following the Fed meeting?

What historical cases can provide context for the current financial market dynamics?

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